DeVante Parker Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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DeVante Parker

NFL · Player Props

DeVante Parker

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

DeVante Parker Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 134.7 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.2 per game) this year.
DeVante Parker has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (85.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (68.8%).
DeVante Parker's skills in grinding out extra yardage have been refined this year, compiling 4.83 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 3.39 mark last year.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
DeVante Parker has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (40.0 per game) than he did last year (61.0 per game).
DeVante Parker has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (27.0) this year than he did last year (45.0).
DeVante Parker's 60.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 64.6% rate.
DeVante Parker's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this season, compiling just 7.16 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 11.43 figure last season.

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