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DeVante Parker

DeVante Parker Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
DeVante Parker Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 134.7 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.2 per game) this year.
  • DeVante Parker has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (85.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (68.8%).
  • DeVante Parker's skills in grinding out extra yardage have been refined this year, compiling 4.83 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 3.39 mark last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • DeVante Parker has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (40.0 per game) than he did last year (61.0 per game).
  • DeVante Parker has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (27.0) this year than he did last year (45.0).
  • DeVante Parker's 60.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 64.6% rate.
  • DeVante Parker's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this season, compiling just 7.16 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 11.43 figure last season.

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