DeVante Parker Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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DeVante Parker

NFL · Player Props

DeVante Parker

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 13, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

DeVante Parker Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects DeVante Parker to accrue 7.2 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects DeVante Parker to be a much bigger part of his team's passing attack this week (19.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (13.5% in games he has played).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.
DeVante Parker has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (69.0 per game) than he did last year (91.0 per game).
DeVante Parker has compiled significantly fewer receiving yards per game (41.0) this season than he did last season (60.0).
The Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 143.0) vs. WRs this year.

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