DeVante Parker Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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DeVante Parker

NFL · Player Props

DeVante Parker

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM UTC

Analysis

DeVante Parker Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.
DeVante Parker has posted a colossal 91.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 89th percentile among wideouts.
DeVante Parker's 58.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 88th percentile for WRs.
DeVante Parker has been among the leading WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 61.0 yards per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.

Favors Under

The Patriots rank as the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 60.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 58.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the 9th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 60.7 plays per game.
DeVante Parker has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in a mere 55.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 8th percentile among WRs
DeVante Parker has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the league, averaging a measly 7.46 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 24th percentile among wideouts

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