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DeVante Parker

DeVante Parker Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
DeVante Parker Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+297/-526).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -479 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -526.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • DeVante Parker has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 16.2% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
  • DeVante Parker has put up a whopping 85.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 89th percentile among wideouts.
  • DeVante Parker's 54.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 86th percentile for wide receivers.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the 8th-most passing touchdowns in the NFL to WRs: 1.11 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 60.3 plays per game.
  • The New England Patriots offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.6% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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