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DeVante Parker

DeVante Parker Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

DeVante Parker Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+232/-365).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +252 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +232.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.

DeVante Parker has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 17.6% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.

DeVante Parker has posted a colossal 91.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 89th percentile among wideouts.

DeVante Parker's 58.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 88th percentile for WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 58.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots have called the 9th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 60.7 plays per game.

DeVante Parker has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in a mere 55.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 8th percentile among WRs

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.6%) versus WRs since the start of last season (64.6%).

The Miami Dolphins defense has allowed the 8th-least passing TDs in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.82 per game since the start of last season.

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