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Desmond Ridder

Desmond Ridder TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

Desmond Ridder TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+215/-270).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -240 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -270.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The Commanders defense has yielded the 3rd-most passing touchdowns in football: 2.00 per game this year.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Washington's group of LBs has been very bad this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 52.8% red zone pass rate.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This week, Desmond Ridder is anticipated by the predictive model to total the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 31.1.

More Desmond Ridder Player Props

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