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Desmond Ridder

Desmond Ridder TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons

Desmond Ridder TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+220/-280).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -280.
  • The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions defense has surrendered the 6th-most touchdowns through the air in the league: 1.58 per game since the start of last season.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 51.1% red zone pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense as the 10th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.50 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Desmond Ridder to attempt 31.6 passes in this week's game, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.

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