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Desmond Ridder

Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons

Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Falcons as the 5th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 47.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Falcons to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Desmond Ridder has averaged 3.7 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the largest rates in the NFL among quarterbacks (79th percentile).
  • The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

  • The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The Falcons have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 55.8 plays per game.
  • Desmond Ridder's rushing effectiveness (3.83 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (23rd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks).
  • Desmond Ridder has been among the weakest quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 0.77 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 20th percentile.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has produced the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding just 4.26 yards-per-carry.

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