Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 7:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Desmond Ridder to total 4.1 carries in this contest, on average: the 10th-most of all QBs.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
The Detroit Lions defense owns the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, allowing 5.16 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense as the 10th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.50 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Desmond Ridder has been among the worst QBs in the league at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 0.36 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 19th percentile.
The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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