Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Falcons to run on 50.2% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Falcons are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 66.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most among all teams this week.
The Falcons have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
The model projects Desmond Ridder to accrue 4.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 4th-most among all quarterbacks.
When talking about opening holes for runners (and the significance it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 2nd-best in the league last year.

Favors Under

With an atrocious rate of 0.92 yards-after-contact (9th percentile), Desmond Ridder rates as one of the weakest running quarterbacks in the league this year.
The New York Jets linebackers rank as the 7th-best collection of LBs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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