Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 5:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has produced the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding 5.12 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 54.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties project as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
The Atlanta Falcons have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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