Desmond Ridder Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Interceptions

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Desmond Ridder Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The Detroit Lions linebackers project as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense as the 10th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.50 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Desmond Ridder to attempt 31.6 passes in this week's game, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.
Desmond Ridder has totaled just 0.19 interceptions per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile among QBs.

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