Desmond Ridder Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Completions

Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:16 PM EST

Analysis

Desmond Ridder Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-122/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 62.0 plays per game.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the league vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year (77.8% Adjusted Completion%).
The Titans linebackers profile as the 7th-worst LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 61.5 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The projections expect Desmond Ridder to attempt 28.9 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 3rd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

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