Desmond Ridder Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Completions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Desmond Ridder Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to be the 10th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.
The Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.6 per game) this year.
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's unit has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The model projects the Falcons as the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Desmond Ridder to attempt 32.1 passes in this contest, on balance: the 9th-fewest among all QBs.

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