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Desmond Ridder

Desmond Ridder Completions
Player Prop Week 4

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Desmond Ridder Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+120/-156).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -156.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Falcons to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Falcons have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 55.8 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Desmond Ridder to attempt 31.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-fewest of all quarterbacks.
  • The Jaguars cornerbacks project as the 6th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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