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Desmond Ridder

Desmond Ridder Completions
Player Prop Week 3

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons

Desmond Ridder Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

The Detroit Lions linebackers project as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense as the 10th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.50 seconds per play.

THE BLITZ projects Desmond Ridder to attempt 31.6 passes in this week's game, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.

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