Desmond Ridder Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Carries

Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 6:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Desmond Ridder Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Falcons as the most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.3% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 62.0 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL last year in run-blocking.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 61.5 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects Desmond Ridder to total 3.1 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance: the 11th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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