Desmond Ridder Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Desmond Ridder

NFL · Player Props

Desmond Ridder

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Carries

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 9:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Desmond Ridder Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Falcons as the 5th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 47.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Falcons to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Desmond Ridder has averaged 3.7 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the largest rates in the NFL among quarterbacks (79th percentile).
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Falcons have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 55.8 plays per game.

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