Deshaun Watson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Touchdowns

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+471/-506).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
With a 62.4% rate of passing the ball near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year, the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football in these cases has been the Cleveland Browns.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
The Browns offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Deshaun Watson has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in football among QBs (3rd percentile).

Favors Under

The model projects the Browns to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.6 plays per game.
In this contest, Deshaun Watson is predicted by the model to wind up with the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 32.4.
The leading projections forecast Deshaun Watson to be much more involved in his team's ground game near the goal line in this contest (37.4% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (28.6% in games he has played).
The Ravens defense has allowed the 3rd-fewest passing touchdowns in the NFL: 1.00 per game this year.

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