Deshaun Watson TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

TD Passes

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 11:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Deshaun Watson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+161/-216).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed the most passing TDs in football: 1.67 per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the least pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 55.0% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 30.7 passes in this game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in football.

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