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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns

Deshaun Watson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cleveland Browns have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Houston Texans safeties grade out as the worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 54.1% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 29.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.

More Deshaun Watson Player Props

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