Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-106/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this week's contest, Deshaun Watson is forecasted by the projection model to earn the 3rd-most rush attempts among all QBs with 6.4.
Making up 24.0% of his team's rushing play calls this year (97th percentile when it comes to QBs), Deshaun Watson's mobility marks him as a significant threat in the run game.
Deshaun Watson comes in as one of the best quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 2.90 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 97th percentile.

Favors Under

A passing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
The Browns have been the 9th-least run-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 37.2% run rate.
Deshaun Watson's rushing effectiveness (3.04 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (12th percentile among QBs).
The Steelers defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding just 3.79 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
The Steelers linebackers profile as the 5th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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