Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 4:37 PM EST

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+100/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to run on 44.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.
In this game, Deshaun Watson is anticipated by the projections to accumulate the most carries among all QBs with 7.6.
Deshaun Watson isn't afraid to call his own number, comprising 26.8% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to QBs.
With a fantastic total of 3.00 yards-after-contact (97th percentile), Deshaun Watson has been as one of the top running QBs in football this year.
This year, the deficient Tennessee Titans run defense has yielded a massive 128.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 8th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Browns this year (a measly 55.3 per game on average).
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Deshaun Watson's rushing effectiveness (2.97 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (15th percentile when it comes to QBs).

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