Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-103/-116).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects Deshaun Watson to total 7.6 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the most out of all quarterbacks.
Taking on 26.6% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (98th percentile when it comes to QBs), Deshaun Watson's mobility makes him a serious threat as a ball-carrier.
With a stellar total of 19.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (76th percentile), Deshaun Watson ranks as one of the leading rushing quarterbacks in football this year.
Deshaun Watson has been one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a remarkable 2.98 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 95th percentile.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
With a 36.2% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-least run-centric offense in football has been the Browns.
The model projects the Browns to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.6 plays per game.
With an atrocious total of 3.1 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (21st percentile), Deshaun Watson ranks among the worst rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

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