Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 12:47 PM EST

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-112/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to run on 45.8% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
The projections expect Deshaun Watson to accrue 7.4 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.
Deshaun Watson isn't afraid to run the ball, accounting for 26.7% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to QBs.
With a remarkable rate of 2.93 yards-after-contact (94th percentile), Deshaun Watson stands among the best running quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
This year, the shaky New York Jets run defense has been gouged for a massive 126.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 8th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Browns have run the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 52.8 plays per game.