Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 3:37 PM EST

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

This week's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Browns, who are enormous -8.5-point underdogs.
The projections expect the Browns to be the 7th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 44.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cleveland Browns.
Last year, the daunting Jaguars run defense has allowed a meager 87.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the best in the NFL.