Deshaun Watson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Carries

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 3:37 PM EST

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+119/-126).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

This week's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Browns, who are enormous -8.5-point underdogs.
The projections expect the Browns to be the 7th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 44.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cleveland Browns.

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