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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to run on 51.5% of their plays: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.

In this contest, Derrick Henry is expected by the model to secure a spot in the 96th percentile among RBs with 18.5 rush attempts.

Derrick Henry has picked up 72.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in football among RBs (95th percentile).

Derrick Henry's rushing effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, totaling 5.05 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 4.10 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 123.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

After accounting for 65.7% of his offense's carries last year, Derrick Henry has been less involved in the rushing attack this year, now comprising just 55.6%.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

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