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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Las Vegas Raiders

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 7-point favorite this week.

The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

In this week's game, Derrick Henry is forecasted by the projections to find himself in the 91st percentile among running backs with 17.1 rush attempts.

Derrick Henry has grinded out 66.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league when it comes to RBs (93rd percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 28.56 seconds per play.

The leading projections forecast Derrick Henry to be a less important option in his offense's running game in this game (52.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (63.8% in games he has played).

The Raiders defensive tackles rank as the best DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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