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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Philadelphia Eagles

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 84.5 (-125/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 81.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 84.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the 2nd-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 50.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect Derrick Henry to total 19.2 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Derrick Henry has garnered 61.9% of his team's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among RBs.

Derrick Henry has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (116.0) this season than he did last season (68.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).

The opposing side have run for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 99.0 per game) versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.

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