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Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 84.5 (-129/+100).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 86.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 84.5 @ +100.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to run on 48.6% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.The predictive model expects Derrick Henry to total 18.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.Derrick Henry has garnered 61.2% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.Derrick Henry's 113.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects a noteworthy gain in his rushing ability over last season's 68.0 rate.Derrick Henry's rushing effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, totaling 6.30 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 4.11 figure last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.6 plays per game.The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down.The opposing side have run for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 107.0 per game) versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Los Angeles's safety corps has been great this year, projecting as the 6th-best in football.
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