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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Ravens to be the 7th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 44.9% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Ravens to run the 10th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The model projects Derrick Henry to accumulate 15.9 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Derrick Henry has picked up 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the largest marks in football when it comes to RBs (94th percentile).

Derrick Henry grades out as one of the best RBs in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging an exceptional 3.32 yards-after-contact last year while checking in at the 85th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their typical game plan.

The predictive model expects Derrick Henry to be a much smaller part of his offense's running game in this week's game (54.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (66.8% in games he has played).

More Derrick Henry Player Props

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