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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 99.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 107.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 99.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 49.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to earn 26.4 carries in this game, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among RBs.
  • Derrick Henry has received 83.4% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.
  • Derrick Henry has averaged 109.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in football among RBs (100th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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