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Derrick Henry
NFL · Player Props
Derrick Henry
RB · Tennessee Titans
Rushing TD
Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2022 Updated Nov 7, 2022 1:01 AM EST
NFL Props Derrick Henry Rushing TD

Derrick Henry Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-119/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -111.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-most run-heavy team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 50.1% red zone run rate.
  • Derrick Henry has been given 86.4% of his team's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
  • The Tennessee Titans O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
  • Derrick Henry has rushed for 1.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in football among running backs (99th percentile).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends grade out as the 4th-worst DE corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Favors Under
  • The Titans are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 2nd-least touchdowns in the NFL (0.43 per game) versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.
  • The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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