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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-220/+170).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has been gouged for the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (86.2%) vs. running backs this year (86.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are an enormous 9-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Derrick Henry's 54.6% Snap% this season shows a meaningful boost in his offensive usage over last season's 43.5% rate.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Denver's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

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