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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-230/+180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -245 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the predictive model to run 65.7 total plays in this game: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their usual approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.
  • Derrick Henry has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, playing on 55.0% of snaps vs just 43.5% last year.
  • The Cleveland defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best DE corps in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

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