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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (42.7 per game) this year.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Ravens profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebackers grade out as the 6th-worst unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

The model projects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.22 seconds per snap.

Derrick Henry's 54.3% snap rate this season marks a noteworthy growth in his offensive usage over last season's 43.5% rate.

Derrick Henry's 87.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a noteable diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last season's 90.7% figure.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

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