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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-170).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
  • Derrick Henry has run a route on 39.0% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile among RBs.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Completion% in football (86.6%) to RBs since the start of last season (86.6%).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace among all games this week, averaging 27.47 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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