Derrick Henry Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Derrick Henry

NFL · Player Props

Derrick Henry

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-190).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to total 3.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
Derrick Henry has been an integral part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 10.0% this year, which ranks in the 85th percentile among running backs.
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties profile as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Derrick Henry's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 87.9% to 84.0%.
The Tennessee Titans O-line has given their QB a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.

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