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Derrick Henry
NFL · Player Props
Derrick Henry
RB · Tennessee Titans
Receptions
Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2022 Updated Nov 18, 2022 12:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Derrick Henry Receptions

Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

Favors Over
  • The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Derrick Henry has been a big part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 10.5% this year, which ranks him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Green Bay Packers defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
  • The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
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