Derrick Henry Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Derrick Henry

NFL · Player Props

Derrick Henry

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-172/+127).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 65.7 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
Derrick Henry has run a route on 40.2% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
The New York Giants pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Completion% in football (86.1%) versus running backs since the start of last season (86.1%).
The New York Giants linebackers project as the 7th-worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Titans are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-worst pace among all games this week, averaging 27.34 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Tennessee Titans O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

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