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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

Derrick Henry's receiving efficiency has gotten a boost this season, notching 8.08 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 6.39 figure last season.

Derrick Henry comes in as one of the top running backs in football at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a stellar 9.62 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 77th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are an enormous 9-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Derrick Henry's 54.6% Snap% this season shows a meaningful boost in his offensive usage over last season's 43.5% rate.

Derrick Henry has compiled a measly -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 24th percentile among running backs.

This year, the strong Denver Broncos defense has given up the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing RBs: a puny 5.4 yards.

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