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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (42.7 per game) this year.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Ravens profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.

Derrick Henry's 7.4 adjusted yards per target this year shows a noteable boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 6.4 rate.

With a remarkable 9.79 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry places among the top pass-game RBs in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.

The Buccaneers defense has surrendered the most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (46.0) vs. running backs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

The model projects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.22 seconds per snap.

Derrick Henry's 54.3% snap rate this season marks a noteworthy growth in his offensive usage over last season's 43.5% rate.

When it comes to air yards, Derrick Henry ranks in just the 25th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -3.0 per game.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

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