My Account Log Out

reorder

Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Baltimore O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

With an outstanding 88.5% Adjusted Catch% (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry rates as one of the best possession receivers in football among running backs.

With an impressive 6.8 adjusted yards per target (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry rates among the best pass-game RBs in the league.

With an excellent 10.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry has been among the top pass-catching RBs in the NFL in space.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Buffalo Bills defense has conceded a colossal 41.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing running backs: the 3rd-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 123.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

Derrick Henry has accrued a mere -4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 6th percentile when it comes to running backs.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™