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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Derrick Henry's 9.8 adjusted yards per target this year indicates an impressive growth in his receiving skills over last year's 6.4 rate.

Derrick Henry's ability to grind out extra yardage has improved this year, totaling 11.90 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 9.82 rate last year.

The Steelers defense has allowed the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (41.0) to RBs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3 points.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 51.2% of their plays: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

At the present time, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.

Derrick Henry's 56.4% snap rate this year conveys a noteable growth in his offensive utilization over last year's 43.5% rate.

Derrick Henry has put up a feeble -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 19th percentile among RBs.

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