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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their typical game plan.

The predictive model expects the Ravens to run the 10th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Baltimore offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in football last year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

With an exceptional 90.7% Adjusted Catch Rate (98th percentile) last year, Derrick Henry has been among the best possession receivers in the league among running backs.

Derrick Henry is positioned as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the league when it comes to RBs, averaging a stellar 6.37 adjusted yards-per-target last year while grading out in the 79th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 55.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense last year: 4th-fewest in football.

Derrick Henry has put up a meager -4.0 air yards per game last year: a lowly 7th percentile among running backs.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has allowed the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 25.0) vs. running backs last year.

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