Derrick Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Derrick Henry

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans have called the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
Derrick Henry has run a route on 39.0% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile among RBs.
Derrick Henry has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the league among running backs, averaging an impressive 7.27 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 80th percentile.
Derrick Henry has been among the leading RBs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a terrific 8.83 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 80th percentile.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Completion% in football (86.6%) to RBs since the start of last season (86.6%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace among all games this week, averaging 27.47 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Derrick Henry has notched a measly -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 5th percentile among running backs.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. RBs since the start of last season, surrendering 5.51 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the NFL.