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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to total 2.8 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among RBs.

Derrick Henry's 16.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 10.6.

Derrick Henry has posted quite a few more receiving yards per game (24.0) this year than he did last year (17.0).

Derrick Henry's pass-catching efficiency has improved this season, notching 9.24 yards-per-target vs a mere 7.59 rate last season.

Derrick Henry's talent in picking up extra yardage have been refined this season, averaging 11.77 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 8.83 figure last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 40.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 7th-least in football.

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