My Account Log Out
 
 
Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to accumulate 3.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
  • Derrick Henry has been a big part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 10.2% this year, which ranks him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
  • Derrick Henry has been among the best pass-game running backs this year, averaging a terrific 20.0 yards per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.
  • Derrick Henry's pass-catching effectiveness has been refined this year, notching 8.51 yards-per-target compared to a measly 7.59 figure last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.7 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™