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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

Derrick Henry has been a big part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 10.5% this year, which ranks him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

Derrick Henry has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in football among running backs, averaging an impressive 7.71 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 95th percentile.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has not been good when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 8.26 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-most in the league.

The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.

The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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